Compare commits
41 Commits
| Author | SHA1 | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3fc312ba9d | |||
| 0716f02766 | |||
| 7b0fbb0262 | |||
| 31b40de191 | |||
| 41294cf3bf | |||
| e8c8f0ed13 | |||
| dfc558ca16 | |||
| 6098da86fa | |||
| f92ed7d66d | |||
| e8781c5ef4 | |||
| e19254a82f | |||
| 15ca83ca76 | |||
| a1fb10842d | |||
| 081cad7f11 | |||
| 9f422f859e | |||
| c23ac95b90 | |||
| 7640d83c37 | |||
| 25e25a366f | |||
| 54407061a0 | |||
| 33ff39f974 | |||
| 8eb3a6378f | |||
| 876bbad136 | |||
| 587d894e5e | |||
| 6eee07a720 | |||
| 6f7dbe5018 | |||
| 8dad61d27a | |||
| 23e14d74a8 | |||
| ddd70cae86 | |||
| a4df0108de | |||
| dcd018c236 | |||
| 7e67ee3792 | |||
| d7725a0186 | |||
| 088d448e50 | |||
| b815a88361 | |||
| 7bea062e6a | |||
| 5bf78e09e1 | |||
| aae0aae77b | |||
| c0992e9690 | |||
| 6942d2386e | |||
| 4e39722899 | |||
| f0c22852be |
@@ -1,4 +1,3 @@
|
||||
$pdflatex="pdflatex -shell-escape -interaction=nonstopmode -synctex=1 %O %S";
|
||||
$out_dir = 'build';
|
||||
$pdf_mode = 1;
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
16
Makefile
16
Makefile
@@ -1,19 +1,25 @@
|
||||
PRESENTATIONS := $(patsubst src/%/presentation.tex,build/presentation_%.pdf,$(wildcard src/*/presentation.tex))
|
||||
HANDOUTS := $(patsubst build/presentation_%.pdf,build/presentation_%_handout.pdf,$(PRESENTATIONS))
|
||||
|
||||
RC_PDFLATEX := $(shell grep '$$pdflatex' .latexmkrc \
|
||||
| sed -e 's/.*"\(.*\)".*/\1/' -e 's/%S//' -e 's/%O//')
|
||||
|
||||
.PHONY: all
|
||||
all: $(PRESENTATIONS) $(HANDOUTS)
|
||||
|
||||
build/presentation_%.pdf: src/%/presentation.tex build/prepared
|
||||
TEXINPUTS=./lib/cel-slides-template-2025:$$TEXINPUTS latexmk $<
|
||||
mv build/presentation.pdf $@
|
||||
TEXINPUTS=./lib/cel-slides-template-2025:$(dir $<):$$TEXINPUTS \
|
||||
latexmk -outdir=build/$* $<
|
||||
cp build/$*/presentation.pdf $@
|
||||
|
||||
build/presentation_%_handout.pdf: src/%/presentation.tex build/prepared
|
||||
TEXINPUTS=./lib/cel-slides-template-2025:$$TEXINPUTS latexmk -pdflatex='pdflatex %O "\def\ishandout{1}\input{%S}"' $<
|
||||
mv build/presentation.pdf $@
|
||||
TEXINPUTS=./lib/cel-slides-template-2025:$(dir $<):$$TEXINPUTS \
|
||||
latexmk -outdir=build/$*_handout \
|
||||
-pdflatex='$(RC_PDFLATEX) %O "\def\ishandout{1}\input{%S}"' $<
|
||||
cp build/$*_handout/presentation.pdf $@
|
||||
|
||||
build/prepared:
|
||||
mkdir -p build
|
||||
mkdir build
|
||||
touch build/prepared
|
||||
|
||||
.PHONY: clean
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -81,7 +81,118 @@
|
||||
\subsection{Theorie Wiederholung}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{sasdf}
|
||||
\frametitle{Stetige Zufallsvariablen I}
|
||||
|
||||
\vspace*{-10mm}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
Erinnerung: Diskrete Zufallsvariablen
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\text{\normalfont Verteilung: }& P_X(x) = P(X = x) \\
|
||||
\text{\normalfont Verteilungsfunktion: }& F_X(x) = P(X \le x) =
|
||||
\sum_{n: x_n \le y} P_X(x)
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\vspace{-10mm}
|
||||
\end{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{columns}[t]
|
||||
\pause\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item Verteilungsfunktion $F_X(x)$ einer stetigen ZV
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
F_X(x) = P(X \le x)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
\pause\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item Wahrscheinlichkeitsdichte $f_X(x)$ einer stetigen ZV
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
F_X(x) = \int_{-\infty}^{x} f_X(u) du
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
\begin{columns}[t]
|
||||
\pause \column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\text{Eigenschaften:} \\[3mm]
|
||||
\lim_{x\rightarrow -\infty} F_X(x) = 0 \\
|
||||
\lim_{x\rightarrow +\infty} F_X(x) = 1 \\
|
||||
x_1 \le x_2 \Rightarrow F_X(x_1) \le F_X(x_2)\\
|
||||
F_X(x+) = \lim_{h\rightarrow 0^+} F_X (x+h) = F_X(x)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\pause \column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\text{Eigenschaften:} \\[3mm]
|
||||
f_X(x) \ge 0 \\
|
||||
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f_X(x) dx = 1
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{Stetige Zufallsvariablen II}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{minipage}{0.6\textwidth}
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item Wichtige Kenngrößen
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\begin{array}{rlr}
|
||||
\text{Erwartungswert: } \hspace{5mm} & E(X) =
|
||||
\displaystyle\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} x f_X(x) dx
|
||||
& \hspace{5mm} \big( = \mu \big) \\[3mm]
|
||||
\text{Varianz: } \hspace{5mm} & V(X) = E\mleft(
|
||||
\mleft( X - E(X) \mright)^2 \mright) \\[3mm]
|
||||
\text{Standardabweichung: } \hspace{5mm} &
|
||||
\sqrt{V(X)} & \hspace{5mm} \big( = \sigma \big)
|
||||
\end{array}
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
\end{minipage}
|
||||
\begin{minipage}{0.38\textwidth}
|
||||
\begin{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
Erinnerung: Diskrete Zufallsvariablen
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\text{\normalfont Erwartungswert: }& E(X) =
|
||||
\sum_{n=1}^{\infty} x_n P_X(x) \\
|
||||
\text{\normalfont Varianz: }& V(X) = E\mleft( \mleft(
|
||||
X - E(X) \mright)^2 \mright)
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\end{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
\end{minipage}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{Zusammenfassung}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{columns}[t]
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{greenblock}{Verteilungsfunktion (stetige ZV)}
|
||||
\vspace*{-6mm}
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
F_X(x) = P(X \le x)\\[4mm]
|
||||
P(a < X \le b) = F_X(b) - F_X(a) \\[8mm]
|
||||
\lim_{x\rightarrow -\infty} F_X(x) = 0 \\
|
||||
\lim_{x\rightarrow +\infty} F_X(x) = 1 \\
|
||||
x_1 \le x_2 \Rightarrow F_X(x_1) \le F_X(x_2)\\
|
||||
F_X(x+) = \lim_{h\rightarrow 0^+} F_X (x+h) = F_X(x)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{greenblock}
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{greenblock}{Wahrscheinlichkeitsdichte \phantom{()}}
|
||||
\vspace*{-6mm}
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
F_X(x) = \int_{-\infty}^{x} f_X(u) du \\[5mm]
|
||||
f_X(x) \ge 0 \\
|
||||
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f_X(x) dx = 1
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{greenblock}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
|
||||
@@ -159,9 +270,9 @@
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\pause\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} f_X(x) dx
|
||||
= \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} C\cdot x e^{-ax^2} dx
|
||||
= \frac{C}{-2a} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (-2ax) e^{-ax^2} dx \\
|
||||
= \frac{C}{-2a} \int_{-\infty}^{\infty} (e^{-ax^2})' dx
|
||||
= \int_{0}^{\infty} C\cdot x e^{-ax^2} dx
|
||||
= \frac{C}{-2a} \int_{0}^{\infty} (-2ax) e^{-ax^2} dx \\
|
||||
= \frac{C}{-2a} \int_{0}^{\infty} (e^{-ax^2})' dx
|
||||
= \frac{C}{-2a} \mleft[ e^{-ax^2} \mright]_0^{\infty} \overset{!}{=} 1 \hspace{10mm} \Rightarrow C = 2a
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
@@ -220,7 +331,6 @@
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
x_1 \le x_2 \Rightarrow F_X(x_1) \le F_X(x_2) \\
|
||||
F_X(x+) = \lim_{h\rightarrow 0^+} F_X (x+h) = F_X(x)
|
||||
\hspace{5mm}\forall x\in \mathbb{R}
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\column{\kitonecolumn}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
@@ -267,7 +377,7 @@
|
||||
= P(1 < X \le 2) = F_X(2) - F_X(1) = e^{-a} - e^{-4a}
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
% tex-fmt: off
|
||||
% tex-fmt: on
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
|
||||
@@ -277,7 +387,203 @@
|
||||
\subsection{Theorie Wiederholung}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{sasdf}
|
||||
\frametitle{Die Normalverteilung}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{columns}
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N}\mleft( \mu, \sigma^2 \mright)
|
||||
\end{gather*}%
|
||||
\vspace{0mm}
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
f_X(x) &= \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi \sigma^2}} \exp\left(\frac{(x -
|
||||
\mu)^2}{2 \sigma^2} \right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
F_X(x) &=
|
||||
\vcenter{\hbox{\scalebox{1.5}[2.6]{\vspace*{3mm}$\displaystyle\int$}}}_{\hspace{-0.5em}-\infty}^{\,x}
|
||||
\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi
|
||||
\sigma^2}} \exp\left(\frac{(u - \mu)^2}{2 \sigma^2} \right) du
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{figure}[H]
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{tikzpicture}
|
||||
\begin{axis}[
|
||||
domain=-4:4,
|
||||
xmin=-4,xmax=4,
|
||||
width=15cm,
|
||||
height=5cm,
|
||||
samples=200,
|
||||
xlabel={$x$},
|
||||
ylabel={$f_X(x)$},
|
||||
xtick={0},
|
||||
xticklabels={\textcolor{KITblue}{$\mu$}},
|
||||
ytick={0},
|
||||
]
|
||||
\addplot+[mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
{(1 / sqrt(2*pi)) * exp(-x*x)};
|
||||
|
||||
\addplot+ [KITblue, mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
coordinates {(-0.5, 0.15) (0.5, 0.15)};
|
||||
\addplot+ [KITblue, mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
coordinates {(-0.5, 0.12) (-0.5, 0.18)};
|
||||
\addplot+ [KITblue, mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
coordinates {(0.5, 0.12) (0.5, 0.18)};
|
||||
\node[KITblue] at (axis cs: 0, 0.2) {$\sigma$};
|
||||
|
||||
% \addplot +[scol2, mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
% coordinates {(4.8, -1) (4.8, 2)};
|
||||
% \addplot +[scol2, mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
% coordinates {(5.2, -1) (5.2, 2)};
|
||||
% \node at (axis cs: 4.8, 3) {$S(1-\delta)$};
|
||||
% \node at (axis cs: 5.2, 3) {$S(1+\delta)$};
|
||||
\end{axis}
|
||||
\end{tikzpicture}
|
||||
\end{figure}
|
||||
\begin{figure}[H]
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{tikzpicture}
|
||||
\begin{axis}[
|
||||
domain=-4:4,
|
||||
xmin=-4,xmax=4,
|
||||
width=15cm,
|
||||
height=5cm,
|
||||
samples=200,
|
||||
xlabel={$x$},
|
||||
ylabel={$F_X(x)$},
|
||||
xtick=\empty,
|
||||
ytick={0, 1},
|
||||
]
|
||||
\addplot+[mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
{1 / (1 + exp(-(1.526*x*(1 + 0.1034*x))))};
|
||||
\end{axis}
|
||||
\end{tikzpicture}
|
||||
\end{figure}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{Rechnen mithilfe der Standardnormalverteilung}
|
||||
|
||||
\vspace*{-15mm}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item Die Standardnormalverteilung
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N} (0,1) \\[4mm]
|
||||
\Phi(x) := F_X(x) = P(X \le x) \\
|
||||
\Phi(-x) = 1 - \Phi(x)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{minipage}%
|
||||
\begin{minipage}{0.48\textwidth}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{tabular}{|c|c||c|c||c|c|}
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
$x$ & $\Phi(x)$ & $x$ & $\Phi(x)$ & $x$ & $\Phi(x)$ \\
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
$0{,}00$ & $0{,}500000$ & $0{,}10$ & $0{,}539828$ &
|
||||
$0{,}20$ & $0{,}579260$ \\
|
||||
$0{,}02$ & $0{,}507978$ & $0{,}12$ & $0{,}547758$ &
|
||||
$0{,}22$ & $0{,}587064$ \\
|
||||
$0{,}04$ & $0{,}515953$ & $0{,}14$ & $0{,}555670$ &
|
||||
$0{,}24$ & $0{,}594835$ \\
|
||||
$0{,}06$ & $0{,}523922$ & $0{,}16$ & $0{,}563559$ &
|
||||
$0{,}26$ & $0{,}602568$ \\
|
||||
$0{,}08$ & $0{,}531881$ & $0{,}18$ & $0{,}571424$ &
|
||||
$0{,}28$ & $0{,}610261$ \\
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
\end{tabular}\\
|
||||
\end{minipage}
|
||||
|
||||
\pause
|
||||
\begin{itemize}
|
||||
\item Standardisierte ZV
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\begin{array}{cc}
|
||||
E(X) &= 0 \\
|
||||
V(X) &= 1
|
||||
\end{array}
|
||||
\hspace{45mm}
|
||||
\text{Standardisierung: } \hspace{5mm}
|
||||
\widetilde{X} = \frac{X - E(X)}{\sqrt{V(X)}}
|
||||
= \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{itemize}
|
||||
|
||||
\vspace*{3mm}
|
||||
|
||||
\pause
|
||||
\begin{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
Rechenbeispiel
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu = 1, \sigma^2 = 0{,}5^2) \\[2mm]
|
||||
P\left(X \le 1{,}12 \right)
|
||||
= P\left(\frac{X - 1}{0{,}5} \le \frac{1{,}12 - 1}{0{,}5}\right)
|
||||
= P\big(\underbrace{\widetilde{X}}_{\sim
|
||||
\mathcal{N}(0,1)} \le 0{,}24\big)
|
||||
= \Phi\left(0{,}24\right) = 0{,}594835
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{lightgrayhighlightbox}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{frame}
|
||||
\frametitle{Zusammenfassung}
|
||||
|
||||
\vspace*{-15mm}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{columns}[t]
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{greenblock}{Standardnormalverteilung}
|
||||
\vspace*{-10mm}
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N} (0,1) \\[4mm]
|
||||
\Phi(x) := F_X(x) = P(X \le x) \\
|
||||
\Phi(-x) = 1 - \Phi(x)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{greenblock}
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{greenblock}{Standardisierung}
|
||||
\vspace*{-10mm}
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\widetilde{X} = \frac{X - E(X)}{\sqrt{V(X)}}
|
||||
= \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{greenblock}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
|
||||
\vspace{5mm}
|
||||
|
||||
\begin{table}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
% \cdots
|
||||
\begin{tabular}{|c|c||c|c||c|c||c|c|}
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
$x$ & $\Phi(x)$ & $x$ & $\Phi(x)$ & $x$ & $\Phi(x)$ & $x$
|
||||
& $\Phi(x)$ \\
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
$1{,}40$ & $0{,}919243$ & $2{,}80$ & $0{,}997445$ &
|
||||
$3{,}00$ & $0{,}998650$ & $4{,}20$ & $0{,}999987$ \\
|
||||
$1{,}42$ & $0{,}922196$ & $2{,}82$ & $0{,}997599$ &
|
||||
$3{,}02$ & $0{,}998736$ & $4{,}22$ & $0{,}999988$ \\
|
||||
$1{,}44$ & $0{,}925066$ & $2{,}84$ & $0{,}997744$ &
|
||||
$3{,}04$ & $0{,}998817$ & $4{,}24$ & $0{,}999989$ \\
|
||||
$1{,}46$ & $0{,}927855$ & $2{,}86$ & $0{,}997882$ &
|
||||
$3{,}06$ & $0{,}998893$ & $4{,}26$ & $0{,}999990$ \\
|
||||
$1{,}48$ & $0{,}930563$ & $2{,}88$ & $0{,}998012$ &
|
||||
$3{,}08$ & $0{,}998965$ & $4{,}28$ & $0{,}999991$ \\
|
||||
\hline
|
||||
\end{tabular}
|
||||
% \cdots
|
||||
\end{table}
|
||||
\end{frame}
|
||||
|
||||
%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%
|
||||
@@ -329,16 +635,16 @@
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\pause \begin{gather*}
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N} \mleft( \mu = 0{,}5, \sigma = 0{,}07^2 \mright)
|
||||
X \sim \mathcal{N} \mleft( \mu = 0{,}5, \sigma^2 = 0{,}07^2 \mright)
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
P(E_\text{a}) &= P \Big( \big( X < S(1-\delta) \big)
|
||||
\cup \big( X > S(1 + \delta) \big) \Big) \\
|
||||
&= P(X < S(1 - \delta)) + P(X > S(1 + \delta)) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&= P\left(Z < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(Z > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&\approx \Phi(-2.86) + \left(1 - \Phi(2.86)\right) \\
|
||||
&= 2 - 2\Phi(2.86) \approx 0{,}424\text{\%}
|
||||
&\overset{\widetilde{X} := \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} }{=\joinrel=\joinrel=\joinrel=} P\left(\widetilde{X} < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(\widetilde{X} > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&\approx \Phi(-2{,}86) + \left(1 - \Phi(2{,}86)\right) \\
|
||||
&= 2 - 2\Phi(2{,}86) \approx 0{,}424\text{\%}
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
@@ -359,8 +665,8 @@
|
||||
\addplot+[mark=none, line width=1pt]
|
||||
{1 / sqrt(2*3.1415*0.07*0.07) * exp(-(x - 5)*(x-5)/(2*0.07*0.07))};
|
||||
|
||||
\addplot +[scol2, mark=none, line width=1pt] coordinates {(4.8, -1) (4.8, 2)};
|
||||
\addplot +[scol2, mark=none, line width=1pt] coordinates {(5.2, -1) (5.2, 2)};
|
||||
\addplot +[KITblue, mark=none, line width=1pt] coordinates {(4.8, -1) (4.8, 2)};
|
||||
\addplot +[KITblue, mark=none, line width=1pt] coordinates {(5.2, -1) (5.2, 2)};
|
||||
\node at (axis cs: 4.8, 3) {$S(1-\delta)$};
|
||||
\node at (axis cs: 5.2, 3) {$S(1+\delta)$};
|
||||
|
||||
@@ -384,17 +690,17 @@
|
||||
dass nur noch halb so viele Ladegeräte wie in a) aussortiert
|
||||
werden. Auf welchen Wert müsste er dazu $\sigma$ senken?
|
||||
\pause\begin{gather*}
|
||||
P(E_\text{b}) = \frac{1}{2} P(E_\text{a}) \approx 0.212\text{\%} \\
|
||||
P(E_\text{b}) = \frac{1}{2} P(E_\text{a}) \approx 0{,}212\text{\%} \\
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\vspace*{-18mm}
|
||||
\begin{columns}
|
||||
\pause\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
P(E_\text{b}) &\overset{\text{a)}}{=} P\left(Z < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma'}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(Z > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma'}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&= P\left(Z < -\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(Z > \frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
P(E_\text{b}) &\overset{\text{a)}}{=} P\left(\widetilde{X} < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma'}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(\widetilde{X} > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma'}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&= P\left(\widetilde{X} < -\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(\widetilde{X} > \frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&= \Phi\left(-\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right)
|
||||
+ \left(1 - \Phi\left(\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'} \right)\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&= 2 - 2 \Phi\left(\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'} \right)
|
||||
@@ -402,20 +708,20 @@
|
||||
\pause\column{\kitthreecolumns}
|
||||
\centering
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
2 - 2\Phi\left(\frac{0.2}{\sigma'}\right) = 2{,}12\cdot 10^{-3} \\
|
||||
\Rightarrow \Phi\left(\frac{0.2}{\sigma'}\right) \approx 0.9989 \\
|
||||
2 - 2\Phi\left(\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right) = 2{,}12\cdot 10^{-3} \\[2mm]
|
||||
\Rightarrow \Phi\left(\frac{0{,}2}{\sigma'}\right) \approx 0{,}9989 \\[2mm]
|
||||
\Rightarrow \sigma' \approx \frac{0{,}2}{\Phi^{-1}(0{,}9989)}
|
||||
\approx \frac{0{,}2}{3{,}08} \approx 0.65
|
||||
\approx \frac{0{,}2}{3{,}08} \approx 0{,}065
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
\end{columns}
|
||||
\pause \vspace*{-5mm}\item Durch einen Produktionsfehler verschiebt sich der
|
||||
Mittelwert $\mu$ auf $5{,}1$ Volt ($\sigma$ ist $0{,}07$ Volt).
|
||||
Wie groß ist jetzt der Prozentsatz, der aussortiert wird?
|
||||
\pause \begin{align*}
|
||||
P(E_\text{c}) &\overset{\text{a)}}{=} P\left(Z < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(Z > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
P(E_\text{c}) &\overset{\text{a)}}{=} P\left(\widetilde{X} < \frac{S(1 - \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right)
|
||||
+ P\left(\widetilde{X} > \frac{S(1 + \delta) - \mu}{\sigma}\right) \\[2mm]
|
||||
&\approx \Phi(-4{,}29) + (1 - \Phi(1{,}43)) \\
|
||||
& = 2 - \Phi(4{,}29) - \Phi(1{,}43) \approx 7.78 \text{\%}
|
||||
& = 2 - \Phi(4{,}29) - \Phi(1{,}43) \approx 7{,}78 \text{\%}
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
\end{enumerate}
|
||||
% tex-fmt: on
|
||||
|
||||
1016
src/2026-01-16/presentation.tex
Normal file
1016
src/2026-01-16/presentation.tex
Normal file
File diff suppressed because it is too large
Load Diff
38
src/2026-01-30/gen_correlated_data.py
Normal file
38
src/2026-01-30/gen_correlated_data.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,38 @@
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
|
||||
from numpy.typing import NDArray
|
||||
import argparse
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def twodim_array_to_pgfplots_table_string(a: NDArray):
|
||||
return (
|
||||
" \\\\\n".join([" ".join([str(vali) for vali in val]) for val in a]) + "\\\\\n"
|
||||
)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main():
|
||||
# Parse command line arguments
|
||||
|
||||
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
|
||||
parser.add_argument("--correlation", "-c", type=np.float32, required=True)
|
||||
parser.add_argument("-N", type=np.int32, required=True)
|
||||
parser.add_argument("--plot", "-p", action="store_true")
|
||||
|
||||
args = parser.parse_args()
|
||||
|
||||
# Generate & plot data
|
||||
|
||||
means = np.array([0, 0])
|
||||
cov = np.array([[1, args.correlation], [args.correlation, 1]])
|
||||
|
||||
x = np.random.multivariate_normal(means, cov, size=args.N)
|
||||
|
||||
print(twodim_array_to_pgfplots_table_string(x))
|
||||
|
||||
if args.plot:
|
||||
plt.scatter(x[:, 0], x[:, 1])
|
||||
plt.show()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
main()
|
||||
40
src/2026-01-30/gen_histogram.py
Normal file
40
src/2026-01-30/gen_histogram.py
Normal file
@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
|
||||
import argparse
|
||||
import numpy as np
|
||||
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
|
||||
from scipy.special import binom
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def array_to_pgfplots_table_string(a):
|
||||
return " ".join([f"({k}, {val})" for (k, val) in enumerate(a)]) + f" ({len(a)}, 0)"
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def P_binom(N, p, k):
|
||||
return binom(N, k) * p**k * (1 - p) ** (N - k)
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
def main():
|
||||
# Parse command line arguments
|
||||
|
||||
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser()
|
||||
parser.add_argument("-N", type=np.int32, required=True)
|
||||
parser.add_argument("-p", type=np.float32, required=True)
|
||||
parser.add_argument("--show", "-s", action="store_true")
|
||||
|
||||
args = parser.parse_args()
|
||||
|
||||
# Generate and show data
|
||||
|
||||
N = args.N
|
||||
p = args.p
|
||||
|
||||
bars = np.array([P_binom(N, p, k) for k in range(N + 1)])
|
||||
|
||||
print(array_to_pgfplots_table_string(bars))
|
||||
|
||||
if args.show:
|
||||
plt.stem(bars)
|
||||
plt.show()
|
||||
|
||||
|
||||
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
||||
main()
|
||||
1331
src/2026-01-30/presentation.tex
Normal file
1331
src/2026-01-30/presentation.tex
Normal file
File diff suppressed because it is too large
Load Diff
Reference in New Issue
Block a user